Buying Opportunity? Investors Sentiment for Bitcoin and Ethereum Turns Short-Term Bearish

The recent adverse price developments for the top two cryptocurrencies by market cap have caused a mood swing among investors. Data shows that the crowd sentiment towards Bitcoin and Ethereum has dropped to extreme negativity as both assets slumped by about 10% in a few days.

Sentiment Towards BTC and ETH to New Lows

Bitcoin and Ethereum went through steep retracements in the past several days. The primary cryptocurrency failed to overcome $60,000 despite initiating several attempts, and the subsequent rejections drove it to a ten-day low of $55,500 yesterday.

ETH’s price performance seemed significantly more bullish. The second-largest digital asset reached a new ATH two days ago at $2,150. However, it also retraced heavily by losing more than $200 in the following 48 hours to a low of $1,940.

Despite recovering some ground since then, these developments have caused a massive mood swing among cryptocurrency investors. Data provided by the analytics company Santiment indicated that the general sentiment toward the two assets has “dropped to extreme negative territory.”

History shows that similar rapid mood changes could actually indicate a short-term market top or bottom. The graph above demonstrates that when the general sentiment was exceptionally high after price increases, as it happened in late January and mid-February, the trend reversed somewhat immediately.

Consequently, Santiment has classified the current negative state as a “bullish opportunity” for buyers.

Fear and Greed Says It’s Not That Bad

The Fear and Greed Index is another metric that could provide the investors’ sentiment towards the cryptocurrency field. It calculates various types of data, including surveys, social media, volatility, and volume, to determine whether the general mood is positive or negative towards Bitcoin.

The final results range between 0 (extreme fear) and 100 (extreme greed). Somewhat expectedly, the index was well in the extreme greed phase in the past few months, as BTC more than doubled its value since January 1st.

With BTC stuck beneath the $60,000 line, the index declined slightly, but it has still remained above 50 – meaning that it’s still in greed territory. This attests that the cryptocurrency space is prone to quick mood changes, which goes hand in hand with the highly volatile nature of all assets.

It’s worth noting that while prices have retraced slightly lately, BTC’s fundamentals have become even more robust. As reported earlier, Bitcoin’s network continues to increase its security as the hash rate marked yet another all-time high record.

How to Buy Tether (USDT): A Step-by-Step Guide for 2021

Bitcoin broke past the $60,000 mark on March 13, 2021, to surpass Facebook in total market value. To learn more about this and other stories, keep reading this article.

Bitcoin Hits Over $60,000 and Surpasses Facebook in Value

On March 13, 2021, bitcoin recorded a high of $61,683.86. This is yet another milestone that the cryptocurrency has achieved after recording a series of several all-time highs in the past three months.

Institutional investors continue to boost bitcoin’s price with Chinese firm Meitu being the latest company to purchase crypto. The firm bought $22.1 million in ether and $17.9 million in bitcoin.

“Beeple’s $69 million [non-fungible token] record demonstrates the true power of crypto, adding curiosity and fuel to the retail fire. Expect volatility but a landing of $100K levels by Q3,” said Jehan Chu, Managing Partner of trading firm Kenetic.

Furthermore, bitcoin’s market cap has risen to the eighth position, surpassing Facebook. Currently, bitcoin has a market capitalization of about $1.07 trillion while Facebook has a market cap of $808.76 billion.

Luno Users Can Now Earn Interest on Ether and USDC Savings

Luno users can now add ETH and USD coin (USDC) to their savings wallet where they can earn 4 percent and 7.6 percent APR, respectively. The exchange introduced the savings wallet five months ago allowing users to earn up to four percent on their bitcoin savings.

“The addition of two new cryptocurrencies to the savings wallet gives customers even greater flexibility and potential to earn interest as they grow their crypto savings. A high percentage of Africans who own cryptocurrency do so for speculative investment purposes, with the majority holding their crypto for the long term. If your crypto investment strategy is holding your crypto long-term, the savings wallet earns you additional interest for what you were already doing,” said Marius Reitz, the General Manager for Africa, at Luno.

According to a Luno 2020 survey, more than a third of the respondents (35 percent) were not earning interest on their traditional cash savings. On the other hand, 54 percent were not earning interest on their current bank accounts. As a result, Luno wants to change these statistics with its crypto savings wallet.

The savings feature pays out interest monthly and users can access their savings 24/7. Moreover, 250,000 people are using the savings wallet since its launch.

South African Company Invests in Bitcoin

It is not large companies alone that are investing in bitcoin. According to an article on Tech Central, open-source software firm LSD Information Technology has purchased R2 million in bitcoin (about $135,570.70).

The company’s board agreed to invest in the digital asset on January 4, 2021. In the initial purchase, it bought R1 million in bitcoin then bought the other R1 million over the next two weeks. The firm used the crypto exchange BitFund to buy and hold the BTC.

“Our vision is to make the world more open, and bitcoin supports our philosophy on how we believe the world works best. Working in the open-source space seems to attract many crypto enthusiasts for whom the decentralised open nature of cryptocurrencies appeals,” said LSD founder and CEO Stefan Lesicnik.

The firm participates in running and maintaining bitcoin full nodes.

Bitcoin Miners Hit Jackpot as Hash Rate Peaks Again

Data from on-chain analytics provider Glassnode has reported that Bitcoin’s average hash rate hit a new all-time high this week, crossing a daily average of 178 exahashes per second for the first time in history.

Bitinfocharts confirms the record high, reporting the current hash rate at 176 EH/s. It topped 150 EH/s twice in February and has remained at these high levels for the past two months, steadily increasing.

Hashrate is often considered as computing ‘horsepower’ for the Bitcoin network and a strong sign of its security. The higher the hashrate, the harder it is to attack the network.

The bullish on-chain metrics were observed by data scientist Rafael Schultze-Kraft [@n3ocortex], who added that mining difficulty has also hit a new all-time high.

1/ A thread on #Bitcoin miner metrics.

First, some fundamentals.

Bitcoin’s average hash rate hit a new ATH yesterday – crossing a daily average of 178 exahash / sec for the first time in history.

Miners keep spinning up machines – hash rate is up only.https://t.co/SEdtQGNsT7pic.twitter.com/vIjVGyH8QC

— Rafael Schultze-Kraft (@n3ocortex) April 6, 2021

Mining Never More Profitable

The analyst noted that Bitcoin miners have been making more than $50 million per day for the past month. He put this into perspective by pointing out that a year ago, this number was around $12 million – so current earnings are a fourfold increase despite the block subsidy being cut in half in May 2020’s halving.

Miners are also now holding on to the new coins they’re minting as the net position has flipped back to green, according to Glassnode. In the run-up to the $40K price level, miners were aggressively selling off to cover their costs, but they’ve now switched back into accumulation mode.

“In fact, the Bitcoin unspent supply (BTC that has never left the original mining addresses), has started to increase again after a quick and sharp drop of around 15k BTC at the beginning of the year. More hodling than spending.”

He added that direct BTC transfers from miner to exchange wallets have been going back down significantly, and even USD-dominated miner to exchange volume has decreased despite a stable price. However, miner activity represents a tiny fraction of BTC trading volumes as a whole.

The analyst concluded that these metrics are very bullish, and miners have little incentive to cash out now or capitulate as many predicted after the halving.

Bitcoin Price Update

At the time of press, Bitcoin was trading down 1% on the day at $56,700, according to Coingecko. It is down at the same time last week by 3.4% but remains within the month-long range bound channel it has formed.

Bitcoin has not dropped below $50K for over a month, which is also a bullish sign that support is holding strong.

RIOT Stock: As Bitcoin Tops Out, It’s Best to Avoid Riot Blockchain

The insanity has a taken a breather in current weeks. However crypto performs like Riot Blockchain (NASDAQ:RIOT) inventory stay widespread amongst traders. Shares on this miner of Bitcoin (CCC:BTC-USD) have produced great positive aspects since final fall when the favored cryptocurrency started its epic run to all-time highs.

However, with BTC costs showing to high out, the underlying issue behind this inventory’s 15x-plus transfer since Nov. 2 could also be lastly operating out of gasoline. That is dangerous information for Riot.

Why? As I’ve mentioned when speaking about one other crypto mining play, Marathon Digital (NASDAQ:MARA), outsized price moves are a double-edged sword for this area.

If Bitcoin is trending greater, which means even bigger positive aspects for crypto miners, given the price of mining stays comparatively fastened even when costs go up. Nevertheless, outsized positive aspects in a crypto market means attainable outsized losses in a crypto bear market.

It’s a bit too early to say we’ll see a repeat of the crash skilled on this asset class again in 2018. But, it’s nonetheless one thing to be involved about. Positive, the good cash has moved into crypto in a giant manner. Inflationary fears make greenback alternate options like BTC look far more interesting.

Alternatively, as this Forbes contributor broke it down, market sentiment appears to be the primary driver for Bitcoin costs. If market individuals proceed to grow to be extra risk-averse, a crypto pullback might be across the nook.

And with shares like this one a good riskier solution to play the crypto development, there’s good purpose to remain away for now.

RIOT Inventory Versus Its Rivals

Riot Blockchain has been in the mining game longer than rivals Marathon Digital, and red-flag ladenSOS Ltd. (NYSE:SOS). Nevertheless, till now this first-mover benefit hasn’t made that a lot of a distinction.

Gross sales have solely not too long ago began to take off (estimated gross sales of $158.6 million in 2021, versus $10.4 million in 2020). And whereas it may quickly materially increase its Bitcoin production capacity (as soon as its new mining {hardware} is deployed), primarily based on gross sales projections ($286.1 million), Marathon’s set to grow to be the bigger participant within the area.

In brief, there’s nothing that makes Riot Blockchain a stronger selection for publicity to this development. Positive, that doesn’t fully destroy the bull case. If BTC continues to climb, names like this one will doubtless see further positive aspects. However like I discussed above, the large concern right here is the danger of decrease crypto costs.

The almost four-fold surge in BTC costs since November fueled a surge many occasions that for RIOT inventory. However on the flip aspect, a double-digit correction within the underlying cryptocurrency may produce a good better loss for traders shopping for this inventory in the present day.

Why Mining Shares are Riskier Than Bitcoin

It might be simpler to exit and purchase a crypto mining inventory versus shopping for cryptocurrency. However don’t take this better accessibility to imply it’s your much less dangerous possibility. Shares on this sector make outsized strikes relative to the underlying worth of BTC. If tendencies reverse course, outcomes will likely be outsized, however within the fallacious course.

The jury’s nonetheless out whether or not Bitcoin is nearly to crash. Some consultants on this various asset are starting to ring the warning bells. We might not see the dramatic downturn skilled in 2018-2019. Throughout that timeframe, the cryptocurrency fell greater than 80% from its then-all time excessive of $20,000. Nevertheless, even a pullback of 20% to 30% may produce far better losses for RIOT inventory.

However that’s not all. Even when costs maintain regular from right here, there’s one other issue that ought to make you bearish about chasing this not too long ago scorching sector. I’m speaking about increasing network difficulty. Over time, it’s required better ranges of computing energy to mine BTC. This implies mining prices (computing {hardware}, electrical energy) will proceed to rise. Additionally it could end in names on this sector falling in need of the aggressive progress projections they’ve touted to traders.

Placing it merely, Bitcoin is dangerous however crypto shares are riskier. Don’t let the benefit of shopping for them idiot you into believing it’s the alternative.

The Backside Line

Traders in Riot Blockchain who received in when BTC was holding regular in mid-2020 have seen jaw-dropping positive aspects over the previous few months. However those that missed out shouldn’t attempt to make up for misplaced time.

Crypto will not be nearly to crash. However, with many involved costs have peaked within the close to time period, there’s extra to counsel decrease slightly than greater costs for this inventory over the subsequent few months.

Add within the different issue that dampens the bull case for crypto miners (rising problem charges), and it’s clear the very best transfer is to skip out on RIOT inventory for now.

Weekly Roundup: Bitcoin Hits over $60,000, Luno Launches ETH & USDC Interest Accounts

Bitcoin broke past the $60,000 mark on March 13, 2021, to surpass Facebook in total market value. To learn more about this and other stories, keep reading this article.

Bitcoin Hits Over $60,000 and Surpasses Facebook in Value

On March 13, 2021, bitcoin recorded a high of $61,683.86. This is yet another milestone that the cryptocurrency has achieved after recording a series of several all-time highs in the past three months.

Institutional investors continue to boost bitcoin’s price with Chinese firm Meitu being the latest company to purchase crypto. The firm bought $22.1 million in ether and $17.9 million in bitcoin.

“Beeple’s $69 million [non-fungible token] record demonstrates the true power of crypto, adding curiosity and fuel to the retail fire. Expect volatility but a landing of $100K levels by Q3,” said Jehan Chu, Managing Partner of trading firm Kenetic.

Furthermore, bitcoin’s market cap has risen to the eighth position, surpassing Facebook. Currently, bitcoin has a market capitalization of about $1.07 trillion while Facebook has a market cap of $808.76 billion.

Luno Users Can Now Earn Interest on Ether and USDC Savings

Luno users can now add ETH and USD coin (USDC) to their savings wallet where they can earn 4 percent and 7.6 percent APR, respectively. The exchange introduced the savings wallet five months ago allowing users to earn up to four percent on their bitcoin savings.

“The addition of two new cryptocurrencies to the savings wallet gives customers even greater flexibility and potential to earn interest as they grow their crypto savings. A high percentage of Africans who own cryptocurrency do so for speculative investment purposes, with the majority holding their crypto for the long term. If your crypto investment strategy is holding your crypto long-term, the savings wallet earns you additional interest for what you were already doing,” said Marius Reitz, the General Manager for Africa, at Luno.

According to a Luno 2020 survey, more than a third of the respondents (35 percent) were not earning interest on their traditional cash savings. On the other hand, 54 percent were not earning interest on their current bank accounts. As a result, Luno wants to change these statistics with its crypto savings wallet.

The savings feature pays out interest monthly and users can access their savings 24/7. Moreover, 250,000 people are using the savings wallet since its launch.

South African Company Invests in Bitcoin

It is not large companies alone that are investing in bitcoin. According to an article on Tech Central, open-source software firm LSD Information Technology has purchased R2 million in bitcoin (about $135,570.70).

The company’s board agreed to invest in the digital asset on January 4, 2021. In the initial purchase, it bought R1 million in bitcoin then bought the other R1 million over the next two weeks. The firm used the crypto exchange BitFund to buy and hold the BTC.

“Our vision is to make the world more open, and bitcoin supports our philosophy on how we believe the world works best. Working in the open-source space seems to attract many crypto enthusiasts for whom the decentralised open nature of cryptocurrencies appeals,” said LSD founder and CEO Stefan Lesicnik.

The firm participates in running and maintaining bitcoin full nodes.