Buying Opportunity? Investors Sentiment for Bitcoin and Ethereum Turns Short-Term Bearish

The recent adverse price developments for the top two cryptocurrencies by market cap have caused a mood swing among investors. Data shows that the crowd sentiment towards Bitcoin and Ethereum has dropped to extreme negativity as both assets slumped by about 10% in a few days.

Sentiment Towards BTC and ETH to New Lows

Bitcoin and Ethereum went through steep retracements in the past several days. The primary cryptocurrency failed to overcome $60,000 despite initiating several attempts, and the subsequent rejections drove it to a ten-day low of $55,500 yesterday.

ETH’s price performance seemed significantly more bullish. The second-largest digital asset reached a new ATH two days ago at $2,150. However, it also retraced heavily by losing more than $200 in the following 48 hours to a low of $1,940.

Despite recovering some ground since then, these developments have caused a massive mood swing among cryptocurrency investors. Data provided by the analytics company Santiment indicated that the general sentiment toward the two assets has “dropped to extreme negative territory.”

History shows that similar rapid mood changes could actually indicate a short-term market top or bottom. The graph above demonstrates that when the general sentiment was exceptionally high after price increases, as it happened in late January and mid-February, the trend reversed somewhat immediately.

Consequently, Santiment has classified the current negative state as a “bullish opportunity” for buyers.

Fear and Greed Says It’s Not That Bad

The Fear and Greed Index is another metric that could provide the investors’ sentiment towards the cryptocurrency field. It calculates various types of data, including surveys, social media, volatility, and volume, to determine whether the general mood is positive or negative towards Bitcoin.

The final results range between 0 (extreme fear) and 100 (extreme greed). Somewhat expectedly, the index was well in the extreme greed phase in the past few months, as BTC more than doubled its value since January 1st.

With BTC stuck beneath the $60,000 line, the index declined slightly, but it has still remained above 50 – meaning that it’s still in greed territory. This attests that the cryptocurrency space is prone to quick mood changes, which goes hand in hand with the highly volatile nature of all assets.

It’s worth noting that while prices have retraced slightly lately, BTC’s fundamentals have become even more robust. As reported earlier, Bitcoin’s network continues to increase its security as the hash rate marked yet another all-time high record.

CEX.IO Launches Crypto Savings Account Service With up to 20% APY

CEX.IO, a leading international cryptocurrency exchange, launches its Savings service as the newest solution in the fast-growing Earn ecosystem. Available in 171 countries, CEX.IO Savings offers users up to 20% Annual Percentage Yield (APY) on 19 different digital assets with the flexibility to move funds in and out of their accounts without any restrictions.

Similarly to savings accounts in the traditional finance industry, CEX.IO Savings offers users a way to generate a passive return on the digital assets they hold. However, unlike a savings account, the international exchange’s Savings product allows customers to add capital or withdraw their funds at any time without fees, expiration dates, or the requirement to lock their holdings for extended periods.

Currently, CEX.IO Savings users can earn interest between 2% and 20% APY on 19 different cryptocurrencies, including multiple stablecoins and DeFi tokens. However, the company is soon expanding its list of supported digital assets.

Users can earn interest in their cryptocurrencies in two ways within CEX.IO Savings. While Flexible Savings provides customers access to their funds any time they need, Locked Savings is for those who are planning to hold their digital assets for a longer time period. While users have to lock their assets until the expiration date, they can utilize this savings type to achieve higher returns with fixed interest rates. On the other hand, the APY for Flexible Savings is fixed on a daily basis. It is reviewed every 24 hours and will respond to the market conditions based on supply and demand.

CEX.IO launched its Savings service as part of the greater Earn ecosystem, which is centered around crypto users seeking to generate an extra income on their digital asset holdings. As the first solution in the Earn suite, CEX.IO launched Staking in 2020, a service that allows customers to earn rewards for locking up their tokens and maintaining the blockchain networks of cryptocurrency projects utilizing the Proof-of-Stake (PoS) consensus mechanism. One of the USPs of CEX.IO Staking is that CEX.IO takes on all the complexities of staking node management and technical integrations.

This allows CEX.IO Staking to guarantee fast capital withdrawals for our users to the extent that users can even place limit orders on our exchange with the assets they staked. This unique feature allows our users to keep generating a passive return on their staked asset while waiting for the price to increase up to the level when they would like to exit from their position.

Founded in 2013, CEX.IO is an international cryptocurrency exchange that offers a wide range of digital asset solutions to over 4 million customers. With a fast-growing ecosystem of innovative products, the London-based company serves all participants of the cryptocurrency market – from retail traders to institutional investors. With a robust, enterprise-grade service, CEX.IO’s multi-functional digital asset solutions feature cutting-edge security while being regulated in multiple jurisdictions, including the United States, Gibraltar, and Cyprus.

In July 2020 and February 2021, CryptoCompare ranked CEX.IO among the top 10 cryptocurrency exchanges worldwide in its Exchange Benchmark Rating. In both reports, the London-based company secured an A grade as well as the third spot in terms of security.

“The way the crypto market was developing in 2020 and 2021 provided digital asset holders a good deal of new options to earn. Staking, lending, and yield farming – to name a few. During the times we have spent in the DeFi sector, we noticed a demand among our users to earn passive income while holding crypto assets. For that reason, we decided to launch CEX.IO Earn, a new service within CEX.IO ecosystem allowing crypto owners to profit by contributing to the blockchain industry. After rolling out Staking and seeing the hugely positive market response, we are now launching Savings. With our new product, customers can earn interest after the coins they contributed on the platform while having the flexibility to withdraw their funds or increase their holdings to achieve better returns at any time,” Konstantin Anissimov, Executive Director at CEX.IO, stated.

Bitcoin Miners Hit Jackpot as Hash Rate Peaks Again

Data from on-chain analytics provider Glassnode has reported that Bitcoin’s average hash rate hit a new all-time high this week, crossing a daily average of 178 exahashes per second for the first time in history.

Bitinfocharts confirms the record high, reporting the current hash rate at 176 EH/s. It topped 150 EH/s twice in February and has remained at these high levels for the past two months, steadily increasing.

Hashrate is often considered as computing ‘horsepower’ for the Bitcoin network and a strong sign of its security. The higher the hashrate, the harder it is to attack the network.

The bullish on-chain metrics were observed by data scientist Rafael Schultze-Kraft [@n3ocortex], who added that mining difficulty has also hit a new all-time high.

1/ A thread on #Bitcoin miner metrics.

First, some fundamentals.

Bitcoin’s average hash rate hit a new ATH yesterday – crossing a daily average of 178 exahash / sec for the first time in history.

Miners keep spinning up machines – hash rate is up only.https://t.co/SEdtQGNsT7pic.twitter.com/vIjVGyH8QC

— Rafael Schultze-Kraft (@n3ocortex) April 6, 2021

Mining Never More Profitable

The analyst noted that Bitcoin miners have been making more than $50 million per day for the past month. He put this into perspective by pointing out that a year ago, this number was around $12 million – so current earnings are a fourfold increase despite the block subsidy being cut in half in May 2020’s halving.

Miners are also now holding on to the new coins they’re minting as the net position has flipped back to green, according to Glassnode. In the run-up to the $40K price level, miners were aggressively selling off to cover their costs, but they’ve now switched back into accumulation mode.

“In fact, the Bitcoin unspent supply (BTC that has never left the original mining addresses), has started to increase again after a quick and sharp drop of around 15k BTC at the beginning of the year. More hodling than spending.”

He added that direct BTC transfers from miner to exchange wallets have been going back down significantly, and even USD-dominated miner to exchange volume has decreased despite a stable price. However, miner activity represents a tiny fraction of BTC trading volumes as a whole.

The analyst concluded that these metrics are very bullish, and miners have little incentive to cash out now or capitulate as many predicted after the halving.

Bitcoin Price Update

At the time of press, Bitcoin was trading down 1% on the day at $56,700, according to Coingecko. It is down at the same time last week by 3.4% but remains within the month-long range bound channel it has formed.

Bitcoin has not dropped below $50K for over a month, which is also a bullish sign that support is holding strong.

Bitcoin Price Analysis: Losing $4K in 24 Hours, Can BTC Hold the Critical Support Area?

Bitcoin fell by a sharp 4% so far today as it dropped as low as $55,600. The cryptocurrency had started the month with another attempt to breach the $60,000 benchmark level. Unfortunately, it was unable to overcome this resistance through the week as it set a range between $60,000 and $57,000.

Today’s price drop caused bitcoin to break beneath this range as mentioned above. As of writing these lines, and as seen on the following 4-hour chart, it is currently holding the critical support around $56,200 – $56,100, provided by a short-term .382 Fib and a 4-HR 200 moving average line.

BTC Price Support and Resistance Levels to Watch

Key Support Levels: $56,200, $55,600, $55,000, $54,675, $54,200.

Key Resistance Levels: $58,355, $60,000, $60,750, $61,781, $62,400.

Moving forward, if the bears push back beneath the current support at $56,200 (MA-200 on the 4-hour chart), the first support lies at today’s low around $55,500 (which is also a descending trend-line started forming towards the end of January).

This is followed by $55,000, $54,675 (.382 Fib), and the critical level of $54,200 (50-days MA). This last support is further strengthened by an ascending trend line that has been in play since early March 2021.

On the other side, if BTC price will hold here, the first resistance now lies at the daily MA-20 around $56,800. This is followed by $58,355 (February highs), and the crucial area of $60,000. The latter had been rejected at least 5 times over the past month.

The daily RSI has now crossed beneath the midline, indicating bearish momentum has taken control within the market, in the short term. This comes after the RSI produced a bearish divergence signal earlier in the week as we mentioned here in the previous price analysis.

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